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Waste Connections, Inc. logo

Waste Connections, Inc.

Refuse Systems

$152.83
-1.20%
Market cap $38.5B

Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas.

It is a $38.5B industrial company. Revenue grew 5.7% over the last year, it keeps 11¢ of every dollar of sales as profit, and its net debt equals ~7.1 years of free cash flow. It trades at 36.9× earnings — near the lowest of its own history.

Location
Woodbridge, A6
Employees
24 214
Sector
Industrials
Founded
1997

Skills

Six independent scores, 0–100, built from reported numbers and valuation history. Click a row to see how it was scored.

Valuation69Growth90Profitability57Health41Quality97Moat50

Strong growth and quality; Health lags behind.

Valuation69
  • P/E vs own history0th pct · 25/25
  • FCF yield3.2% · 12/25
  • P/S4.0x · 20/25
  • EV/EBITDA16.5x · 12/25
Growth90
  • Revenue CAGR11.4% · 20/25
  • Net income CAGR14.9% · 20/25
  • EPS CAGR ~5Y40.0% · 25/25
  • Fwd implied growth44.0% · 25/25
Profitability57
  • ROIC6.3% · 5/25
  • ROE13.1% · 12/25
  • Net margin10.9% · 20/25
  • Operating margin17.0% · 20/25
Health41
  • Altman Z2.41 · 18/25
  • Current ratio0.66 · 0/25
  • Interest coverage5.4x · 18/25
  • Net cash / debtD/A 42% · 5/25
Quality97
  • Piotroski F7/9 · 22/25
  • Beneish M-2.70 · 25/25
  • FCF conversion116% · 25/25
  • Margin stabilityσ 4.5% · 25/25
Moat50
  • ROIC >12% years0/10 yrs · 0/25
  • Median gross margin41.2% · 13/25
  • FCF-positive years10/10 yrs · 25/25
  • Worst-year net marginworst 3.8% · 12/25

How the scores work →

Experience

The company's career so far — founding, the IPO, landmark products and acquisitions, plus revenue milestones and insider buying.

  1. FY2025Financial
    Best year on record
    $1.08B net income
  2. FY2016Financial
    Profitable every year on record
    10 consecutive profitable years in our data
  3. FY2016Financial
    Revenue already above $1B
    $3.38B in first reported year
  4. FY2016Financial
    Positive free cash flow every year since
    10-year streak
  5. 2016Acquisition
    Waste Connections bought Progressive Waste Services of Canada for $2.67 billion
  6. 2012Acquisition
    It acquired R360 Environmental Solutions, a Texas waste company specializing in the oil industry
  7. 1997Founded
    The company was founded in 1997 by a group of professionals in Washington and Idaho with industry-related…

Achievements

Verifiable track record, straight from the reported numbers.

#38 largest of 130 Industrials companies by market cap
$10 000 invested in 2021 would be worth ~$11 736 today — price return only
$9.5B revenue in FY2025
Revenue up 5.7% year over year
Profitable 10 years in a row
Positive free cash flow 10 years in a row
24 214 employees

Strengths & watch-outs

What a bull and a bear would each point to. Both lists come from the reported numbers, not opinions.

Strengths

  • High gross margin (42.5%)
  • Interest covered 5.4× by operating earnings
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — fundamentally strong checklist

Watch-outs

  • Net debt would take ~7.7 years of free cash flow to repay
  • Net debt equals ~7.1 years of free cash flow

Qualifications

The basics a company should meet before you research it further. Each check uses the reported numbers.

10 of 11 checks passed
  • Revenue growing+5.7% YoY
  • Profitable$1.06B TTM
  • Profit growing+8.8% YoY
  • Generates cash$1.23B TTM
  • Debt under control~7.1y of cash flow to repay
  • Established company$38.5B market cap
  • Not printing shares-2.2% shares over ~5y
  • Proven track record10/10 profitable years
  • Financially stableAltman Z 2.4 — grey
  • Pays a dividendyield 0.89%
  • Valuation not extremeP/E 36.9
Peer comparisonWaste Connections, Inc. vs 6 largest industrials peers — cap, P/E, growth and margin side by sideOpen ▾
CompanyMarket capP/ERevenue growthNet marginProfile
WCN this company$38.5B36.9+5.7%10.9%Mixed
LRCX Lam Research Corp$399.2B54.9+26.0%31.3%Strong
CAT Caterpillar Inc.$368.0B33.9+18.4%14.5%Solid
RTX RTX Corporation$251.3B32.4+11.8%8.3%Strained
DE Deere & Company$167.7B34.4+8.3%10.2%Solid
ETN Eaton Corporation, plc$167.2B43.6+15.5%12.8%Mixed
UNP Union Pacific Corp.$166.8B22.6+4.2%28.8%Strained

Head-to-head: WCN vs LRCX · WCN vs CAT · WCN vs RTX

References

What covering analysts publish about the company — information only, not a recommendation.

Strong buy 6Buy 11Hold 3

Appendix · Financial records

The full statements behind this CV, FY2016–FY2025. For readers who want to check the numbers.

Want the live picture — intraday moves, valuation history and full analysis?

Deeper analysis of WCN on PreMarketPrice

Figures are derived from company filings (quarterly values normalised from as-filed year-to-date data where applicable) and may be delayed, restated or incomplete. This page is information, not investment advice. Latest price $152.83 · market cap $38.5B.